Saturday, January 25, 2014

Whatever happened to all the Silver Dollars?

But we'll get into that later.

Do you know America's most collectible coin?
This is it, the Morgan Silver Dollar.

One Hundred Morgan Silver Dollars in a box.

When I was 12 years old and shoveling driveways and mowing lawns for a dollar an hour, my goal was to accumulate $100 dollars. That represented an enormous amount of wealth to me and seemed a worthy goal. The picture of 100 Morgan Silver Dollars above represents that ambition. 

What is a Morgan Dollar?

Minted by the US Treasury from 1878 to 1904 and again in 1921, they came about due to the Bland-Allison Act of 1878 during the Rutherford B. Hayes administration. Hundreds of millions of these coins were struck in five different mints: Philadelphia, New Orleans, Denver, San Francisco and most famously, Carson City in Nevada. Most languished for years in canvas bags, never leaving the mint and eventually, due to the Pittman Act of 1918, 270,000,000 were melted, or half of the total mintage.   The War Time Silver Act of 1942 melted even more Morgans, thus aiding considerably to the coins scarcity. So, how many Morgan Dollars exist today? Due to lost mint records, mass melting's and general usage no one really knows, but one leading authentication service estimates that it has seen more than 1.4 million of these highly collectible coins.

Designed by Englishman, George T. Morgan in 1878, and acclaimed as one of the most beautiful coins ever minted, it's composed of 90% silver and 10% copper, giving it a total silver content of 0.77344 troy ounces. Or more simply, it contains a little more than 3/4's of an ounce of silver. These are not the only silver dollars produced by the mint, but certainly the most recognized and collected.

Obverse on the left and Reverse on the right of these (BU) brilliant uncirculated examples.

This is an 1889 Morgan. You undoubtedly know heads from tails, but coin collectors refer to the front as the obverse and the back as the reverse. It's a beautifully detailed, hefty coin and when flipped into the air by your thumb nail, it "rings." Try this with a current "clad" coin and it "thuds." If you look closely beneath Miss Liberties neck you'll discover a tiny "M" that indicates the engraver, Mr. Morgan. This was a highly controversial issue within the Mint at the time. On the reverse below the tail feathers is where you'll locate the "mint mark" or where the coin was struck. There is no mark here which indicates it was struck in Philadelphia. An O represents New Orleans, an S San Francisco a D Denver and the highly coveted CC is Carson City. 


Want to know more about this beautiful, highly collectible U.S. coin? Then you should probably purchase this book, MORGAN SILVER DOLLARS by Q. David Bowers from Wolfeboro, New Hampshire. Really, he's from New Hampshire! And no, I don't know him. Mr. Bowers writes in great detail about its history, production, design and investment analysis. He'll teach you about scarcity, rarity, condition, mintage and all the factors that determine value. Though equally beautiful, not all Morgan Silver Dollars are created equal from an investment viewpoint. 

I equate learning about, searching for and negotiating for Morgan Silver Dollars the same as I learn about, search for and negotiate for early American furniture. Both represent value, beauty and long term investment. 


On the left is an 1884 Morgan in fair condition valued probably at $30.00 or so. To the right is an 1888, very highly worn example in poor condition that I'd estimate at $25.00. Both of these coins in a "proof state" would be valued between $3,000 to $4,000.


The reverse of the two coins above.


A 1921, a Morgan in uncirculated condition vs our 1888 well worn example. Although the 1921 is in very nice condition, it's the last year they were minted and more than 2 million were struck and only in Philadelphia. Even the uncirculated specimens have dings and marks that are called bag marks. They occurred while large canvas bags of coins were moved about causing abrasions. Even the least expensive, common date, "almost uncirculated" Morgan with nice brilliance sells in a good coin shop for $50 to $75 today.

What makes a Morgan valuable? A combination of factors like; date, mintmark and condition. For example, an 1889 CC in excellent condition is worth in the neighborhood of $300,000. I'll have to go through my little box and see if I have any.


As a contrast here's an example of a U.S. Peace Dollar minted from 1921 to 1928 and then again in 1934 and 1935. It has the same specs as the Morgan but has failed to capture the imagination of collectors and demands far less money. 

Morgans are generally accepted as numismatic coins, meaning that they have collectors value on top of their "bullion" or silver melt value. There are many on line coin shops where you can go to learn the values of these coins, such as Littleton Coin in Littleton, NH. I don't know these folks either.

Here's the formula though to determine the silver value of a silver dollar. 

Today's Silver Price X .03215 X 26.73 X .90 = Silver value
Silver today is $20 so the formula would look like this.
20 X .03215 X 26.73 X .90 = $15.46

To watch live gold and silver prices click over to BULLION DESK.
To watch gold and silver trends click over to KITCO.

What about this Gresham's Law. It's an economic axiom that in the vernacular argues, "cheap stuff forces good stuff off the market." Remember when our daily change/coinage was made from silver? Silver halves, quarters and dimes were common, plentiful and all that we knew. In 1965 the Treasury Department during Lyndon Johnson's administration, debased our coinage and created today's "clad" coins. The silver was replaced with a cheaper alloy of copper and nickel. Consequently these coins lacked intrinsic value and when you stumbled across a silver dime or quarter you'd bring it home and put it in a jar with others because it was intrinsically valuable. It wasn't just you, everyone did this and in no time our beautiful, artistic silver coins became a memory. In other words, the inferior or clad-coins drove the valuable coins off the market and into your jar.

 This picture represents "Junk Silver" or pre 1965 U.S. coinage. 1942 Walking Liberty half dollar, 1958 Franklin half dollar, 1964 JFK half dollar, 1928 Standing Liberty quarter, 1964 Washington quarter, 1935 Mercury dime and a 1963 Roosevelt dime. All of these coins were in common circulation until 1965. This little $2.20 pile of coins equals 1.57 ounces of silver that equals $31.40 today in silver value. (11/27/13 silver = $20.00 per ounce)
Here are four "Washington" quarters on edge. Would you venture a guess as to which are silver and which are clad? 

Today, these pre '65 silver coins are called "junk silver" and you'll pay dearly at a coin shop to purchase them. One dollar of junk silver face, which means, any combination of silver change that adds up to a dollar equals .715 ounces of silver or $14.30 at todays silver price. So $100 face value of real silver change equals 71.5 ounces of silver and 71.5 ounces of silver equals $1,430 in today's currency. A quick check of the Provident website indicates that they're selling $100 face of junk silver for $1,563.

To better emphasize my point, would you rather have handed to you a crisp, clean, new, $100 bill or $100 dollars in pre 1965 U.S. silver coins? I hope  that you opted for the coins, because the difference is worth $1,330 at today's silver price.

Often I'm asked, "what is your box of 100 Morgans worth?" In today's market I "value" them at $50 to $60 a piece, but the real answer is, they're "worth" whatever someone will pay for them. Have you ever watched Wayne Carini from Chasing Class Cars take a rare automobile to a high-end auction like Pebble Beach? He sets out with a number in mind and might say that he expects it to sell for $100,000, only to see it fetch $75,000 on the auction block. On that day at that location it was worth $75,000 as determined by a sea of free market bidders, seeking quality with a finite number of dollars. Free market capitalism at its best.

If you live anywhere near Nashua, NH and you're interested in numismatics, you might consider attending the Nashua Coin Show. It occurs the third Sunday of each month and attracts vast crowds of buyers and sellers.

Happy collecting! What ever it is that you value.

Rand


Wednesday, January 15, 2014

Watchmaking and Watch Repair

I had a dilemma not too awfully long ago. I'd purchased several, very nice, antique railroad pocket watches off EBAY, but they underperformed. Which is a nice way of saying that they didn't run very well. Both their internal and external appearances were spectacular and rather than return them I set out in search of someone who could diagnose/repair these complex little antiques. My son also called complaining that his 1960, Rolex GMT, that we'd just had refurbished wasn't running well either. 

I love detective work and my investigation lead me to the door of David Searles in Milford, New Hampshire.


David, a 1976 MIT graduate, (a classmate of Benjamin Netanyahu) is a watch maker, antiquarian, horologist and all around interesting fellow, whom I approached with my balky collection. After just a couple of weeks they were back in my possession, ticking away happily, keeping near perfect time. Don't forget, they're nearly 100 years old. 

Since my retirement I rarely wear a watch these days, but my railroad timepieces are beautiful, intricate display pieces that represent  a piece of complex, mechanical art. Their gold or silver cases, made smooth by the touch of many hands before mine, energize my imagination and feed my curiosity. Where have they been? Who owned them? Did they actually guide a railroad conductor and help orchestrate the movement of giant steam locomotives over our nations labyrinth of rails?


David's "parts" collection alone warrants a full scale magazine article and took years to build. This picture shows wooden cases of watch crystals in huge quantities to satisfy all different sizes, makes and ages of watches. Then he showed me his collection of pins, wheels, springs, levers, stems, gears, grommets and other internal parts that simply amazed me. 


As seen here, lighting, vision enhancers and specialized tools have a premier role in his shop as David addresses a complex, antique watch that will soon be available at auction.

He explained to me how accuracy has improved over time, from the 16th century until today, as watchmakers painstakingly developed new parts, tools or techniques. Then others would tweak these parts and increase accuracy yet again. Open the back of an old pocket watch sometime and marvel at how all these tiny parts, that you need magnification to see, work perfectly in unison.   


One of hundreds of boxes of small parts. "One doesn't just run out and purchase these items" David explained, "they come from buying out old watchmakers, saving parts from other watches and keeping your eyes open at flea markets and auctions." 


So what does David do when he's not repairing watches? 

He's an indépendant consultant who writes catalogs, condition reports and pricing guides for Jones and Horan Auction Team in Goffstown, NH. They hold four auctions per year in Manchester, NH that exceed $3 million in sales. I've been to several and they're very exciting.

David's a member of the National Association of Clock and Watch Collectors, the Swiss Association of Chronometrophilia and other organizations that keep him supplied with study and reading material. He also rents space at the New Hampshire Antique CO-OP in Milford, NH where he sells selective pieces.

As my readers know, I enjoy meeting people who are passionate about what they do. These are people who don't understand about "just going to work," they're people who can't wait for the sun to rise so they can get under way and create, produce, teach, fix, learn and enjoy their labor. David is such a guy.

He can be reached at:   watchperson@hotmail.com